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Developments in Climatology in Australia

Australian Climatology Before 1946

Climate Monitoring

Climate Prediction

Climate Change

The Current State and Future of Climatology

References


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Climate Monitoring

As noted above, some early meteorological work had focussed on the marked interannual variations in rainfall. Much of Russell's works delineated variations in the nature of years, by listing historical floods or lake levels, for instance. It was recognised very early that routine monitoring was necessary for various political purposes. In 1865, Surveyor-General Goyder of South Australia drew what quickly became known as Goyder's Line. This was to mark the limit to which drought had extended south during that year, to help determine which pastoral lessees might be given financial relief (Andrews 1966). The various colonies had established observing networks to monitor climate variations, especially rainfall which was quickly recognised as the major variable controlling agriculture over much of Australia. Extensive descriptions and tabulations of the year's climate variations were published.

Soon after the establishment of the Commonwealth Bureau of Meteorology, systems were introduced to monitor the rainfall across the entire country. The Bureau's Monthly Meteorological Report of the Australian Commonwealth commenced publication in January 1910. These reports included, as well as rainfall and temperature information, charts of tracks of anticyclones and cyclones. Patterns of atmospheric circulation have remained an interest (e.g., Karelsky 1956; Leighton and Nowak 1995). Improved communications and upper air data have led to the routine monitoring of global circulation (e.g., Beard 1996). This was not possible in 1910, but annual rainfall maps were published, and the country was divided into meteorological divisions (Taylor 1910). The stations in each division were averaged to produce what we now call district average rainfalls. These district averages are still prepared and used in monitoring and prediction, despite some well-known deficiencies.

Generally good rains during the two decades after the Second World War meant that monitoring of rainfall fluctuations probably seemed less crucial than in earlier, drier years. The re-establishment of drought conditions in the 1960s led the Bureau of Meteorology to establish a drought watch service (Gibbs 1975). Since 1965 official 'drought statements' have been issued by the Bureau whenever such conditions exist. Aggregate rainfall totals are maintained from the beginning of the drought and maps of the extent of the area covered by the tenth and fifth rainfall percentiles, corresponding with 'serious' and 'severe' drought, are issued monthly. These alerts provide an objective assessment of rainfall deficiency, similar to the Goyder Line of the 19th century, and can be used in determining the need for government assistance.


People in Bright Sparcs - Leighton, Robert Murray (Bob); Quayle, Edwin Thomas; Russell, Henry Chamberlain

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Nicholls, N. 1997 'Developments in Climatology in Australia: 1946-1996,' Australian Meteorological Magazine 46, 1997, pp. 127-135.

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